[escepticos] RV: [SE] eclipse numbers

["cbloss" <cbloss@...>]

Sobre el próximo eclipse total de sol el 11 de agosto del año que viene,
para los que sepáis inglés. Interesante, ¿no?

	Carlos Bloss
----------
> De: Steven Van Impe <van.impe en village.uunet.be>
> A: SOLARECLIPSES en AULA.COM
> Asunto: Re: [SE] eclipse numbers
> Fecha: sábado 12 de diciembre de 1998 17:10
> 
> 
> Bob Morris <morris en sce.carleton.ca> wrote
> 
> 
> > Inclusion of Austria, Hungary, Romania, Turkey, Iran,
> > Pakistan, India, Belgium, Yugoslavia, Bulgaria, Syria, and Iraq
> > suggests that perhaps 30 million people will see totality!
> 
> A question that is more relevant to prevent ultimate chaos is the size of
> the small band where all these people will troop together. Taking into
> account that the totality belt in the regions with the highest population
> density is at greatest 100 km wide for the environment of Paris (where
> people from the entire France, Belgium, Holland, Denmark and the west of
> Germany will probably flock together) and let's take about 500 km wide,
> about 15 million people will be together on only 50.000 km^2. That means
a
> density of about 300 people per square kilometer. This means 3 square
meters
> per person. It might seem a comfortable space, but the 50.000 km^2 from
> above is not completely available. Mountains, rivers, forests, roads,
> buildings, closed terrain, ... will drastically reduce the terrain. I
hope
> my estimate of 15 million people was a bit too high.
> 
> Even more terrifying: all these people will come by car. A normal car can
> hold about 5 people (let's be optimistic about carpooling). This means
> 3.000.000 cars. All coming via about 10 major highways with at most 4
lanes
> towards the eclipse. A highway is about 30 meters wide. Many people will
be
> stuck on the highway when the eclipse starts. At totality, no car will
move
> because those in the totality zone will get out of their cars and block
> those who are behind with only kilometers to go between the 99,99% and
100%.
> Children will start crying, drivers get nervous and cause minor
accidents.
> And they're not in a mood to settle it with a friendly word and an
insurance
> paper.
> 
> Possibly, millions of people will come by train. If the French and
Belgian
> rail companies are active those days (ie. if there is, by exception, no
> strike) we can expect trains stacked with people. This reduces the number
of
> cars to 2.500.000 cars (optimistically). Most trains will be stacked with
> people of whom we can expect many to faint (remember, it is midsummer)
and
> probably many will arrive too late (no joke). Many people will even
remain
> stuck in the railway stations where thay wanted to depart because trains
are
> full and don't stop to pick up new passengers. After the eclipse, many
> people will have to sleep in the stations because every hotel is already
> fully booked.
> 
> And then there's this quote from Revelation:
> 
> 6:12 Then I looked when he opened the sixth seal, and a huge earthquake
took
> place; the sun became as black as sackcloth made of hair and the full
moon
> became blood red; 6:13 and the stars in the sky fell to the earth like a
fig
> tree dropping its unripe figs when shaken by a fierce wind.
> 
> An Eclipse and a meteor shower, announcing Armageddon. Can I panic now?
> 
> Steven
> 
> 
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